about 6 months ago by Sporting Life

SPORTING LIFE-INFOGOL: PREMIER LEAGUE OPENING WEEKEND

Data and xG experts find value for the opening weekend of Premier League action

Crystal Palace v Arsenal
The price about an Arsenal win on Friday is simply too short, with Palace underrated by fans and bookies alike.
Patrick Vieira’s side ranked as the sixth best team in the league last season based on xG, and at home they were excellent, particularly defensively, ranking third best on xGA per game (0.97).

The Eagles should be able to replicate those figures given the continuity at the club over the summer, and given they had a great record against the better teams at Selhurst Park last season (W3 D1 L2) including a 3-0 success over Arsenal.
• CLICK HERE to back Crystal Palace or Draw Double Chance with Sky Bet
Mikel Arteta’s side have done decent business, but it’s still too early to trust them a odds-on quotes against a team who have shown they are more than capable, so backing CRYSTAL PALACE OR DRAW is the selection.
Fulham v Liverpool
At a solid price, there is huge appeal in backing TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD TO HAVE 2+ TOTAL SHOTS. That’s just shots, they don’t have to be on target.
• CLICK HERE to back Trent Alexander-Arnold to have 2+ total shots with Sky Bet
In the Premier League last season, Alexander-Arnold averaged 1.6 shots per game. That was higher in those contests against the promoted sides.
Bournemouth v Aston Villa
A more attacking approach after a full summer of preparation under Steven Gerrard looks likely, which should suit the enterprising MATTY CASH down to the ground.
CLICK HERE to back Matty Cash 1+ total shots with Sky Bet
Cash excelled last season, winning Supporters’ Player of the Season, and is fancied to continue in the same vein this term. The available 4/6 about Cash to register 1+ TOTAL SHOTS makes great appeal considering he averaged almost a shot per game in 2021/22.
Leeds v Wolves
Last campaign, Leeds found the net 42 times with both teams to score clicking in 66% of their fixtures, which includes both of these sides’ clashes.
• CLICK HERE to back BTTS with Sky Bet
So the 5/6 available for BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE in what promises to be a goal laden game looks like value.
Newcastle v Nottingham Forest
Last campaign in the Sky Bet Championship, Forest only conceded 28 goals in the 38 league games Steve Cooper oversaw and that average of 0.73 was comfortably the best in the division.
• CLICK HERE to back Forest or draw with Sky Bet
If they are going to stand any chance of survival, maintaining those high defensive standards will be paramount, and that should make them tough to beat on Saturday, making NOTTINGHAM FOREST OR DRAW the standout selection.
Tottenham v Southampton
No player in the Premier League has racked up more ASSISTS than DEJAN KULUSEVSKI’S eight since the Swedish international arrived in north London at the end of January.
• CLICK HERE to back Dejan Kulusevski to have 1+ assists with Sky Bet
That was one more than teammate Harry Kane over that period and two more than Kevin De Bruyne, both of which have won the Playmaker Award within the past three seasons.
Everton v Chelsea
This is set to be a fascinating game, but it is fully expect that this meeting will follow the same pattern as the last (1-0), meaning UNDER 2.5 GOALS is just too big of a price.
• CLICK HERE to back Under 2.5 Goals with Sky Bet

Everton played in a deep-lying block at the back end of last season, with a high energy, unorganised press meaning their games saw few chances at either end of the pitch.

Manchester United v Brighton
BRUNO FERNANDES has been the bane of Brighton. In his last five league appearances against Graham Potter’s side the Portuguese playmaker has found the net four times and registered two assists. In those fixtures, he has racked up a total of 16 shots, 11 of which have hit the target.
• CLICK HERE to back Bruno Fernandes to have +2 shots on target with Sky Bet
Sky Bet’s boosted price for him to register 2+ SHOTS ON TARGET would have clicked in four of those fixtures which is why it appeals, though it is worth noting that’s only a shade longer than Betfair are generally pricing it.

Leicester v Brentford
With Eriksen in the starting eleven after his surprise January signing, Brentford gained 22 points from a possible 30, averaging 1.92 expected goals for (xGF) and 1.33 expected goals against (xGA) per game.
You’d have to believe their attacking output will take a hit, but the feeling is that Thomas Frank’s defence can step up and stay in plenty of games, especially with a full preparation for a season opener on the road.
• CLICK HERE to back Under 2.5 Goals with Sky Bet
UNDER 2.5 GOALS is the 11/10 selection for this strangely scheduled match-up, albeit with small stakes.

West Ham v Manchester City
David Moyes’ men averaged 5.3 corners taken per game last season, with City going at a much higher - and league-leading - 8.32. It’s therefore unsurprising that there were 13 corners in their league meeting at the London Stadium and 12 at the Etihad.
• CLICK HERE to back over 11.5 corners with Sky Bet
Add in the 11 taken in their Carabao Cup contest and it is 36 corners across three games, meaning the 6/4 on OVER 11.5 CORNERS provides appeal in this contest.



Arsenal Team Insights

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Aston Villa Team Insights

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Bournemouth Team Insights

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Chelsea Team Insights

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Crystal Palace Team Insights

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Everton Team Insights

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Fulham Team Insights

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Leicester City Team Insights

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Liverpool Team Insights

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Manchester City Team Insights

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Manchester United Team Insights

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Southampton Team Insights

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Tottenham Hotspur Team Insights

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West Ham United Team Insights

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Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Insights

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Nottingham Forest Team Insights

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Newcastle United Team Insights

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Leeds United Team Insights

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